Predictions for 2011
OK, well, 30% wasn't too bad, so I think I should push my luck...
- Mystic KoW
- Inflation will remain high, forcing an increase in the BoE base rate by the summer
- Property prices will continue their recent slide, exacerbated by the interest rate rise, and will finish down about 10% on the year
- F1 won't be won by a German this year - I'm going to say McLaren for the double. Probably Hamilton, but it depends how well the new tyres suit Button.
- Audi will win 24 Hours of Le Mans again, despite a close fight with Peugeot, and Drayson Racing will be classified finishers.
- Sterling will rise slightly against the Dollar - $1.60 - and fall slightly against the Yen - 115. I'm going to predict a rise against the Euro, though not sure how much maybe 1.20-1.30?
- Oil prices will fluctuate, but petrol prices will ignore this and rise to £1.50/litre for no adequately explained reason.
- Gold will trade above $1600/oz, but most of the volatility will be in silver and/or platinum.
- GDP growth will remain anaemic, maybe 1-2% over the entire year. The FTSE will remain above 5000 as a result.
- There will not be a General Election in 2011. The coalition may not hold for the entire year, but I think it will last long enough.
- There will not be a significant Islamist terrorist attack in the UK, the US, or on a transatlantic flight. Let's define "significant" as "kills one or more people", none of this "has the Houses of Parliament on a list of targets" nonsense.
- Mystic KoW
Labels: 2011, predictions