Monday, November 09, 2009

Nonce Sense

NSPCC/ChildLine have released a study today, which made the front page of Metro and the BBC also covers it.

It turns out that there's been a 132% rise in the number of women being implicated in sex-abuse cases since 2004-5. That's hardly surprising, given the systematic bias against men (whom we shall refer to as "potential paedophiles") working with children. It's also symptomatic of an under-reporting of woman-on-boy assault - like most teenage boys, I certainly wouldn't have complained to the authorities if a female teacher got a bit frisky (chance would be a fine thing!)

The statistics bear out what we already knew: the vast majority of child abuse is from natural parents and close family. Most of the rest is from step-family, then professional carers. The "paedo under the bed" has - to all intents and purposes - never existed, despite the hysteria about strangers assaulting children.

The number of calls - 16,094 - seems quite high. No doubt there are a fair number of malicious lies there, and a huge number of multiple-callers but, even if not, that represents around one child in 1000 being assaulted. One in a thousand. We're preparing to (ineffectively) vet over 12m people... TWELVE MILLION... for something that affects 0.1% of the population - and that vetting isn't even required of parents or step-parents, despite being 45% of the male and 67% of the female accused.

Sorry, Alan Johnson, looks like the Home Office is yet again failing at Evidence-Based Policymaking.

- KoW

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